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Box Office Predictions (7-9th June)

This is a new feature I am thinking of implementing each week. I know a lot of my followers are stat addicts and being a movie blog I tend to keep an eye on box office figures. The figures can be very important to films, not only for studios but for viewers who want a sequel or to avoid one and if you just want to know your favourite film is doing well. Hopefully good films making money will be a new trend. I’d appreciate any feedback as I am trying it out before the big weekend of Man of Steel’s release.

Prediction-1-banner

Returning Films

Whilst Fast and Furious 6 has had a stellar couple of weeks at #1 I cannot imagine it taking yet another weekend with 3 new releases to contend the position this weekend, so am going with $14M this weekend. Then again After Earth bombed epically last weekend so we may see another weekend of weak releases, going for an equally bad return for After Earth with $10M. Now You See Me did pretty well last weekend but with average reviews and modest popularity I can’t imagine it doing much better than half its first weekend numbers, so will end up at $15M.

New Films

The Internship

Prediction-The Internship

Plot:

Wedding Crashers duo Owen Wilson and Vince Vaughn reteam on this Shawn Levy-directed comedy as two out of work salesmen who have to compete as interns in a tech company in order to score a job.

Analysis:

Comedies haven’t done well this year both in a critical and box office formats. For example Hangover Part III did particularly bad on its first weekend, however it did come of the back of a disappointing franchise film. This new film isn’t connected to a franchise which normally hurts films but might help in this case because people looking for comic relief in the summer will chance it because there aren’t many choices at the moment. Other benefits are a younger crowd surrounding the story of Internships and fans of Vince Vaughn and Owen Wilson. My prediction is $20M.

The Purge

Prediction-The-Purge

Plot:

If on one night every year, you could commit any crime without facing consequences, what would you do? In The Purge, a speculative thriller that follows one family over the course of a single night, four people will be tested to see how far they will go to protect themselves when the vicious outside world breaks into their home.

Analysis:

Been a while since a new horror release and horror films have been doing very well this year, however that was in winter and I am not sure people are in the mood for a scare in the dark when the sun is shining outside. The reviews are average to good but reviews don’t normally affect horror films so it doesn’t really matter. The concept of the film is fascinating but that may just be me and it’s hard to speculate on others opinions. The film for example opened poorly in the UK last weekend. My prediction $18M.

Much Ado About Nothing

Prediction-Much-Ado-About-Nothing

Plot:

Shakespeare’s classic comedy is given a contemporary spin in Joss Whedon’s film, “Much Ado About Nothing”. Shot in just 12 days (and using the original text), the story of sparring lovers Beatrice and Benedick offers a dark, sexy and occasionally absurd view of the intricate game that is love.

Analysis:

This film isn’t going to break the bank this weekend due to limited release but where is released I am sure it will find strong numbers of the success of Joss Whedon’s The Avengers. The cast is also popular with his fans so I hope it does well. My prediction $500,000.

  1. The Internship: -$20M
  2. The Purge: -$18M
  3. Now You See Me: -$15M
  4. Fast and Furious 6: -$14M
  5. After Earth: -$10M
  6. Star Trek Into Darkness: -$9M
  7. Epic: -$9M
  8. The Hangover Part III: -$8M
  9. Iron Man 3: -$4M
  10. The Great Gatsby: -$3M

Well that’s my views. Now what do you think about this weekend and its new releases?

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About Tim The Film Guy

Very opinionated about films Mwahahahahaha!

32 responses to “Box Office Predictions (7-9th June)”

  1. Daniel Prinn says :

    I predicted The Purge at $25, but it’s really over-performing!! I thought it was a disappointment 😦 I was intrigued by it the first time I heard about it… I think I’m seeing The Internship tomorrow, could be pretty funny… I love the Wilson/Vaughn duo 😀 I also predicted it at $20 🙂

    I’ll come back Monday to see which one of us did better 😉

    Like

  2. sidekickreviews says :

    I actually think the Internship will do a little better.

    Like

  3. filmswithcappie says :

    Awesome dude! Looking at the figures coming in, you’ll be a lot closer than me this week… especially The Internship. I can’t believe The Purge is looking at $35 million weekend :O

    Like

  4. ruth says :

    I actually don’t think The Internship is gonna do all that well, maybe top 3 or 4 at the box office. I’m thinking Fast & Furious might take the #1 spot w/ Star Trek Into Darkness or The Purge at #2. We shall see 🙂

    Like

  5. Erik says :

    Good job! Are you gonna do UK box office as well?

    Like

  6. Nick Powell says :

    I have the two new releases flipped with the Purge at $22 and Internship at $18. I don’t think the comedy will do that great.

    Like

  7. The Celtic Predator says :

    I think that those are pretty solid predictions. Sounds like a really boring week at the box office, though, lol

    Like

  8. leocravenauthor says :

    With all the schools getting out this week I think F6 might still take 1st place again, but good predictions none the less:)

    Like

  9. Mark Hobin says :

    I would be shocked if The Internship debuts at #1. It looks awful. Although it looks to be a slow weekend so I guess anything can happen.

    Like

    • Tim The Film Guy says :

      Well it’s got no competition in its genre and being a bad film has never stopped films before so I think it will squeeze in a very meagre #1 position, unless I am wrong about fast 6 and it somehow doesn’t drop at all in the box office.

      I love this, the fun of am I right am I wrong. Well we’ll find out on Monday 😀

      Like

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