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Box Office Predictions (21-23rd June)

Another week of new releases and these won’t be any easier, let’s hope I get lucky and make some good predictions. This weekend we have two releases, first is Monsters University a highly anticipated sequel and second is World War Z a new Zombie film starring Brad Pitt. But we also have Man of Steel fighting to keep his high flying position at number one. Will Pixar take the win? Will World War Z shock us all or will Man of Steel keep the high ground? Go watch some movies and let’s look at the breakdowns.

Box-Office-Prediction-21-23-June

Returning Films

Last weekend we saw an incredible opening weekend for Man of Steel earning itself a total of $116M over the 3 day weekend, but by the rule of the box office this figure should be around half the following weekend however the film has been earning impressive numbers throughout the week making over $11M each day, so am predicting $70M. This is the End will probably take a big drop but maybe people who saw Man of Steel last Weekend will see this now, who knows? So am predicting $12M. Now You See Me will start bottoming out so I think it might do $5M. I think the new films will take most of the money this weekend but they’ll have to fight the man of steel to do so.

Damage Estimates To Metropolis In Man of Steel

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New Films

Monsters University

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Plot:

Mike Wazowski and James P. Sullivan are an inseparable pair, but that wasn’t always the case. From the moment these two mismatched monsters met they couldn’t stand each other. “Monsters University” unlocks the door to how Mike and Sulley overcame their differences and became the best of friends.

Analysis:

Depending on where you look you can find predictions ranging from $45M -$80M for this film. It has benefits and strengths but it also has a lot working against it. My problem comes from a couple of factors, one its 12 years after the first film and long gaps between sequels hurts the box office big time, we even saw this with Star Trek Into Darkness and that was only 4 years. Other problems are the film being set at University which is something that may help or hinder, kids who saw the first film will now be in university but they aren’t this films target audience. The films strength comes from a successful first film both in box office and critically, but it also has the Pixar brand which is mostly trusted to make good films. My prediction is $65M. It could easily make more though.

World War Z

World-War-Z-poster

Plot:

The story revolves around United Nations employee Gerry Lane (Pitt), who traverses the world in a race against time to stop a pandemic that is toppling armies and governments and threatening to decimate humanity itself.

Analysis:

I don’t know where to begin with this, it could make any amount. I don’t even know how much it would need to be profitable. I know they say $200M budget but it’s changed so much it’s hard to say what the total is. It’s based off a popular book but isn’t anything like it so that really doesn’t matter. It’s a Zombie film but not really a horror film but more of an action film so again that cancels itself out. Then again Brad Pitt stars and he will probably be the biggest draw over all. I’ll be seeing but then again I watch most things. My prediction is $40M.

My Prediction

  1. Man of Steel: -$70M
  2. Monsters University: -$65M
  3. World War Z: -$40M
  4. This is the End: -$12M
  5. Now You See Me: -$6M
  6. Fast & Furious 6 : -$6M
  7. The Purge: -$4M
  8. The Internship: -$3M
  9. Epic: -$3M
  10. Star Trek Into Darkness: -$2.5M

Well that’s my views. Now what do you think about this weekend and its new releases?

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About Tim The Film Guy

Very opinionated about films Mwahahahahaha!

20 responses to “Box Office Predictions (21-23rd June)”

  1. The Focused Filmographer says :

    Dude! did Michael Bay direct portions of Man of Steel? Look at all of that damage! haha

    Like

  2. boxofficebuzzab says :

    Good estimate! I bet either Man of Steel or Monsters University will take the top spot, but it wouldn’t surprise me if Man of Steel took the #1 spot for a second weekend. I’m really curious to see how World War Z does.

    Like

  3. sidekickreviews says :

    I think your spot on with the rankings. Having Brad Pitt in the movie helps, but he’s not the big box office draw that some people might think he is.

    Like

  4. Daniel Prinn says :

    It has a well-established fan base. I saw you said that 12 years is a long time between original and prequel, and that’s true, but Toy Story 3 was 11 years after TS2, so that’s something to think about… Even if Monsters Inc isn’t as beloved as Toy Story. And even though this is a prequel. Maybe we’ll get a short or a sequel to see how things turned out with Boo lol? Wishful thinkin’…

    About WWZ, I think it’s more likely to over-perform than bomb. I have it at $47, so it isn’t *too* different from yours, lol. I think it will make decent money.

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    • Tim The Film Guy says :

      Can you think of 1 prequel that has made big money? let alone the year gap and that kids don’t know the University culture. I don’t know if it can pass $70M, probably will because of my release date error but whatever, we can have a good laugh after we get the numbers 😀

      No matter how much WWZ makes its never seeing its budget again, $200M is ridiculous however I am going to see it and my friends are interested in how it turns out, so we’ll see 😀

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      • Daniel Prinn says :

        The Hobbit with $84M in its opening! Star Wars: Phantom Menace must have done well in its opening… Didn’t Prometheus $50M in its opening? … Hmmmm 😉 Oz Great and Powerful with $79, and… X-Men Origins: Wolverine… Sorry… You only wanted one 😉

        Hahah yeah true, I think it’ll pass $70 for sure!! Mid-80s, high 70s might be the real question…

        Yeah, I’ll be seeing it as well. Yeah it definitely won’t make back its budget domestically. I think it will as a worldwide total, though.

        Yeah, we’ll see how the weekend goes 😀

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        • Tim The Film Guy says :

          Shut up Dan! Haha 😀

          To be fair though those are based of incredible successful films, Middle earth was no doubt money maker, Star Wars even more obvious to make huge box office. Prometheus and Wolverine didn’t make that much but Oz great and powerful was a fluke, a FLUKE I say!

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          • Daniel Prinn says :

            See, all of those movies had an awesome fan base, so they made good money 😉 Okay so I’m looking at the numbers right now and Prometheus opened with $51 and went on to gross $126; and then Wolverine opened with $85 (way more than I thought) and went on to gross $179 domestically… Hahaha it was no fluke! Everyone loves Wizard of Oz so of course families showed up by the bus load!

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          • Tim The Film Guy says :

            $85M!!! That’s insane!

            We’ll see Dan 😀

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  5. Eric @ The Warning Sign says :

    I have a feeling World War Z will be a letdown at the box office. We shall see… 🙂

    Like

    • Tim The Film Guy says :

      Well anything below $50M will be a disappointment for the studio, what with the budget of $200M which I think is probably a lie with all the re-shoots and delays, so youre probably right 😀

      Like

  6. adlibitur90 says :

    I think for Monster University it depends how loyal the fan base are to return to see the sequel (or I guess it’s a prequel), like Toy Story had roughly the same gap in years between the 2nd and 3rd film and it still did pretty well with a much older audience, like 20 plus (hell when I saw it in the cinema there was a couple there who were 60 at least 😀 ).
    xxx

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    • Tim The Film Guy says :

      I am probably way off with monsters university but I wanted to keep conservative with its numbers. Toy Story was enourmous and the most famous Pixar film they made, plus Toy Story 3 was a sequel but this is a prequel which are never as big. Tough one really.

      Wanna make a guess against mine? We’ll compare on Monday 😀

      Like

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