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Box Office Predictions (23-25th Aug)

The Mortal Instruments, You’re Next, The Worlds End and Blue Jasmine…four wide releases again! As we go into the fall season the films coming out will become less known and as such will not bring in the same business but they will be interesting because they can maintain better numbers over a longer period. I am interested in seeing how The World’s End does in the US. Go watch some movies!

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Returning Films

Can’t forget about are returning films as well. The Butler won last weekend with an impressive $24M, and I’d expect a respectable drop to $13M this weekend. Kick-Ass 2 opened weak to $13M last weekend, and this weekend I don’t see it holding onto much of it so look for $6M. Jobs and Paranoia bombed and I don’t see them remaining in the top ten with four new releases.

New Films

You’re Next

You're-next-poster

Plot:

When the Davison family comes under attack during their wedding anniversary getaway, the gang of mysterious killers soon learns that one of victims harbors a secret talent for fighting back.

Analysis:

I want to see this but my blanket ban is still on-going so we will see. The film has a lot of online buzz with good reviews and some interesting marketing, but that doesn’t always translate to profits. I’ll say $16M.

The Mortal Instruments

City-of-bones-poster

Plot:

When her mother disappears, Clary Fray learns that she descends from a line of warriors who protect our world from demons. She joins forces with others like her and heads into a dangerous alternate New York called Downworld.

Analysis:

This is a real easy one to predict. It’s going to make the same or less than most Teen book adaptations, lack of marketing and the fact that nobody outside of the book fans will have heard of this film. Just the weekend prediction let’s say $9M.

The World’s End

The-Worlds-End-poster

Plot:

Five friends who reunite in an attempt to top their epic pub crawl from 20 years earlier unwittingly become humankind’s only hope for survival.

Analysis:

Sorry cornetto fans it’s only opening in about 1000 cinemas so it couldn’t make big if it wanted to. I didn’t think it was as impressive as the other entries to the series and its reviews aren’t as solid so I expect similar but not higher box office. Let’s look for $9M.

My Prediction

  1. You’re Next:   -$16M
  2. The Butler:   -$13M
  3. We’re the Millers:   -$11M
  4. The Mortal Instruments:   -$9
  5. The World’s End:   -$9M
  6. Planes:   -$8M
  7. Elysium:   -$7M
  8. Kick-Ass 2:   -$6M
  9. Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters:   -$4M
  10. 2 Guns:   -$3M

 

Well that’s my views. Now what do you think about this weekend and its new releases?

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About Tim The Film Guy

Very opinionated about films Mwahahahahaha!

14 responses to “Box Office Predictions (23-25th Aug)”

  1. leocravenauthor says :

    While I’m not excited about going to see Mortal Instruments, my wife is and thus we will be going, lol. With that said, I think the movie’s failure at the box office will be completely on the shoulders of the morons who marketed it. I can’t stand the Twilight series, but it brought in serious cash and any decent marketing effort for MI would have resulted in at least double the box office take you’re predicting. “Young Adults” (i.e. book reading-obsessed female teenagers) are viable consumers…but they do have to be reminded when one of their favorite book-to-move adaptations is actually getting released!

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  2. filmscorehunter says :

    I agree about You’re Next being very likely to take the #1 spot this weekend. It’s too bad Focus Features isn’t opening The World’s End on more screens. Hopefully it’ll expand next weekend. Mortal Instruments is going to be very terrible, and I just learned they’re already shooting the sequel in Toronto. I believe Colonel Kurtz said it best: “The horror, the horror.”

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  3. adlibitur90 says :

    I’m surprised World’s End is only opening in 1000 screens, Shaun Of The Dead and Hot Fuzz seems to be liked around America, I assumed this would be the same.
    xxx

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  4. Tom says :

    i absolutely loved The World’s End, but unfortunately it won’t do so well here since as you said there’s not a legitimately wide release here. 1000 screens, you say? i consider my arse quite lucky then. this was a lot of fun. maybe not as good as Shaun of the Dead, though. the other films here I couldn’t care less about haha. I might bow to peer pressure and wind up seeing You’re Next over the wknd but we’ll see.

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  5. ReasonableCritic says :

    And the most bewildering summer in the history of film continues!
    World’s End will bomb, so will City of Bones. Your’e Next will only come out on top because the rest of the playing field is so abysmal.
    A have not seen The Butler, but obviously it will be number one. I think it will do close to 20 million, only because there are a lot of adults out there who have been waiting out the summer and want to see a “serious” film without CGI explosions.

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  6. theipc says :

    I’m off to see You’re Next in a couple of hours : )

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